The market's expectations for interest rate hikes changed significantly after the Federal Reserve's decision

By: rootdata|2026/06/18 04:43:05

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 64% (91% before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 35.1% (8.9% before the decision), and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 1% (0% before the decision). By December, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 14.2% (38.2% before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 36.4% (43% before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 33.8% (16.2% before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 75 basis points is 13.5% (2.4% before the decision), and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 100 basis points is 2.1% (0.1% before the decision).

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